Patch Forecast

Weekly review · Week 44

Week of 26 October 2026

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TL;DR

  • Critical Linux kernel flaw exploited. Attackers are exploiting a critical Linux kernel vulnerability to remotely execute commands as root on servers running Multipath TCP (MPTCP) listeners.
  • AI agents acting out of bounds. Researchers found vulnerabilities in the browsers built into VS Code, Cursor, Copilot, Codex, and Claude Desktop, allowing attackers to run code, show fake addresses, or read the entire disk.

This week's condition

Red
Vulnerabilities
Red: Linux Kernel Missing Initialization of a Variable Vulnerability, exploited
AI agent security
Red: LiteLLM hit by second supply chain attack this year, users urged to rotate crede

This week's map

Red and Amber warnings raised this week, grouped by where they live. Bigger means riskier.

At a glance

Vulnerabilities

Story maps

Story map: Linux KernelTHE FLAWSTHE FIXCVE-2026-46300Linux Kernel MissingInitialization of a VariableVulnerabilityCVSS 7.8 · EPSS 16% · exploitedCVE-2025-39964Linux Kernel Race ConditionVulnerabilityexploitedCVE-2026-53266Linux Kernel Out-of-BoundsWrite VulnerabilityexploitedCVE-2025-39682Linux Kernel Improper Checkfor Unusual or ExceptionalConditions VulnerabilityexploitedFixApply mitigations in accordancewith vendor instructions,ensuring compliance withCISA’s BOD 26-04 guidance…Who is exposed{'product': 'linux kernel','vendor': 'linux'}RED · ACT TODAYLinux KernelA vulnerability in the Linuxkernel allows an attacker todecrypt in place over page-cachebacked frags, potentially leadingto a high impact onconfidentiality, integrity, andavailability.Where it standsExploited in the wildOn CISA's exploited list since 18 SepUS federal deadline 21 Sep5 outlets covering itHOW IT UNFOLDEDOfficial record on the left, the press on the right, oldest first.18 Sep · CISAAdded to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (4of these flaws)21 Sep · DeadlineUS federal agencies must have patched28 Oct · CISA advisories (US)CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities toCatalog28 Oct · SecurityWeekChina-Linked Hackers Exploit PHP2Shell to RootFirewalls29 Oct · BleepingComputerCISA warns of Fragnesia Linux flaw chained inPHP2Shell attacks29 Oct · Help Net SecurityChinese hackers used VMware ESX zero-day;PHP2Shell and Fragnesia chained to root firewalls29 Oct · The RecordLimited reports of PHP bug exploitation emerge30 Oct · Infosecurity MagazineChinese Actor Compromises US GovernmentNetwork Via Chained PHP2Shell ExploitCONNECTS TOSame productEarlier Linux Kernel warnings2 in the last 90 days →Reported alongsidePHP Stale InternalRequest-State VulnerabilityCVE-2026-109619 · in 5 of the samearticles →Reported alongsidePHP Memory CorruptionVulnerabilityCVE-2026-109618 · in 5 of the samearticles →
Story map: Linux Kernel Missing Initialization of a Variable Vulnerability

At a glance

Linux Kernel: Red, act today. A vulnerability in the Linux kernel allows an attacker to decrypt in place over page-cache backed frags, potentially leading to a high impact on confidentiality, integrity, and availability.

The flaws

  • CVE-2026-46300: Linux Kernel Missing Initialization of a Variable Vulnerability (CVSS 7.8 · EPSS 16% · exploited)
  • CVE-2025-39964: Linux Kernel Race Condition Vulnerability (exploited)
  • CVE-2026-53266: Linux Kernel Out-of-Bounds Write Vulnerability (exploited)
  • CVE-2025-39682: Linux Kernel Improper Check for Unusual or Exceptional Conditions Vulnerability (exploited)

The fix

Fix: Apply mitigations in accordance with vendor instructions, ensuring compliance with CISA’s BOD 26-04 guidance and CISA’s “Forensics Triage Requirements”

Who is exposed: {'product': 'linux kernel', 'vendor': 'linux'}

Where it stands

  • Exploited in the wild
  • On CISA's exploited list since 18 Sep
  • US federal deadline 21 Sep
  • 5 outlets covering it

How it unfolded

  1. 18 Sep, CISA (official): Added to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (4 of these flaws)
  2. 21 Sep, Deadline (official): US federal agencies must have patched
  3. 28 Oct, CISA advisories (US) (official): CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
  4. 28 Oct, SecurityWeek (press): China-Linked Hackers Exploit PHP2Shell to Root Firewalls
  5. 29 Oct, BleepingComputer (press): CISA warns of Fragnesia Linux flaw chained in PHP2Shell attacks
  6. 29 Oct, Help Net Security (press): Chinese hackers used VMware ESX zero-day; PHP2Shell and Fragnesia chained to root firewalls
  7. 29 Oct, The Record (press): Limited reports of PHP bug exploitation emerge
  8. 30 Oct, Infosecurity Magazine (press): Chinese Actor Compromises US Government Network Via Chained PHP2Shell Exploit

Connects to

Story map: Secure Firewall Asa Software And Cisco Secure Ftd SoftwareTHE FLAWSTHE FIXCVE-2026-76418Cisco Secure Firewall ASASoftware and Cisco Secure FTDSoftware Unchecked Return…CVSS 8.6 · EPSS 1% · exploitedFixApply mitigations in accordancewith vendor instructionsWho is exposed{'products': ['Cisco SecureFirewall ASA Software', 'CiscoSecure FTD Software'],'packages': [], 'versions': []}RED · ACT TODAYSecure FirewallAsa Software…A vulnerability in Cisco SecureFirewall ASA Software andCisco Secure FTD Softwareallows an unauthenticatedattacker to cause the device toreload unexpectedly, resulting ina denial of service (DoS)…Where it standsExploited in the wildOn CISA's exploited list since 29 OctUS federal deadline 1 Nov4 outlets covering itHOW IT UNFOLDEDOfficial record on the left, the press on the right, oldest first.29 Oct · CISAAdded to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list29 Oct · SecurityWeekAttackers Exploit Second Cisco Firewall VPNZero-Day Since August29 Oct · The Hacker NewsCisco Patches Actively Exploited ASA and FTD VPNFlaw That Can Crash Firewalls29 Oct · BleepingComputerNew Cisco firewall zero-day exploited to crash SSLVPN devices29 Oct · CISA advisories (US)CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities toCatalog29 Oct · Help Net SecurityChinese hackers used VMware ESX zero-day;PHP2Shell and Fragnesia chained to root firewalls1 Nov · DeadlineUS federal agencies must have patchedCONNECTS TOSame weaknessCWE-690 (CWE-690)2 other warnings in 30 days →Reported alongsideCisco Secure Firewall AdaptiveSecurity Appliance (ASA) and…CVE-2026-20349 · in 2 of the samearticles →Reported alongsideCisco Secure Email GatewayRelative Path Traversal…CVE-2026-76519 · in 1 of the samearticle →
Story map: Cisco Secure Firewall ASA Software and Cisco Secure FTD Software Unchecked Return Value to NULL Pointer Dereference Vulnerability

At a glance

Secure Firewall Asa Software And Cisco Secure Ftd Software: Red, act today. A vulnerability in Cisco Secure Firewall ASA Software and Cisco Secure FTD Software allows an unauthenticated attacker to cause the device to reload unexpectedly, resulting in a denial of service (DoS) condition. An attacker could exploit this vulnerability by sending a crafted request when connecting to the SSL remote access VPN.

The flaws

  • CVE-2026-76418: Cisco Secure Firewall ASA Software and Cisco Secure FTD Software Unchecked Return Value to NULL Pointer Dereference Vulnerability (CVSS 8.6 · EPSS 1% · exploited)

The fix

Fix: Apply mitigations in accordance with vendor instructions

Who is exposed: {'products': ['Cisco Secure Firewall ASA Software', 'Cisco Secure FTD Software'], 'packages': [], 'versions': []}

Where it stands

  • Exploited in the wild
  • On CISA's exploited list since 29 Oct
  • US federal deadline 1 Nov
  • 4 outlets covering it

How it unfolded

  1. 29 Oct, CISA (official): Added to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list
  2. 29 Oct, SecurityWeek (press): Attackers Exploit Second Cisco Firewall VPN Zero-Day Since August
  3. 29 Oct, The Hacker News (press): Cisco Patches Actively Exploited ASA and FTD VPN Flaw That Can Crash Firewalls
  4. 29 Oct, BleepingComputer (press): New Cisco firewall zero-day exploited to crash SSL VPN devices
  5. 29 Oct, CISA advisories (US) (official): CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
  6. 29 Oct, Help Net Security (press): Chinese hackers used VMware ESX zero-day; PHP2Shell and Fragnesia chained to root firewalls
  7. 1 Nov, Deadline (official): US federal agencies must have patched

Connects to

Story map: Ivanti Connect SecureTHE FLAWSTHE FIXCVE-2026-111357Ivanti Connect Secure MissingAuthentication for CriticalFunction VulnerabilityCVSS 7.0 · EPSS 1% · exploitedCVE-2026-104935Ivanti Connect SecureAuthentication Bypass bySpoofing VulnerabilityCVSS 8.6 · EPSS 87% · exploitedCVE-2026-118527Ivanti Connect SecureGeneration of PredictableNumbers or Identifiers…exploitedUpgrade Ivanti Connect…25.1.3.0or later on your release lineWho is exposed{'products': ['Ivanti ConnectSecure'], 'packages': [],'versions': ['before 25.1.3.0']}RED · ACT TODAYIvanti ConnectSecureIvanti Connect Secure has avulnerability (CVE-2026-104935)that allows a remote attackerto execute arbitrary commandswithout authentication. Thiscould lead to a high impact onconfidentiality, integrity, and…Where it standsExploited in the wildOn CISA's exploited list since 13 OctUS federal deadline 16 Oct4 outlets covering itHOW IT UNFOLDEDOfficial record on the left, the press on the right, oldest first.13 Oct · CISAAdded to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (3of these flaws)14 Oct · Dark ReadingIvanti ICS Zero-Day Attacks Highlight VendorPatching Hurdles16 Oct · DeadlineUS federal agencies must have patched28 Oct · BleepingComputerInfraTrust report warns of exploited flaws incritical network infrastructure30 Oct · CISA advisories (US)CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities toCatalog31 Oct · The Hacker NewsAttackers Chain Three Ivanti Connect SecureFlaws to Gain Unauthenticated Root Access2 Nov · SecurityWeekIvanti Patches Two More Zero-Days Exploited inConnect Secure Attack Chain2 Nov · BleepingComputerIvanti patches two more Connect Securezero-days chained in attacksCONNECTS TOSame weaknessCWE-829 (CWE-829)46 other warnings in 30 days →Reported alongsideF5 BIG-IP APM Heap-basedBuffer Overflow VulnerabilityCVE-2026-94127 · in 1 of the samearticle →Reported alongsideArista VeloCloud OrchestratorImproper Input Validation…CVE-2026-93952 · in 1 of the samearticle →
Story map: Ivanti Connect Secure Missing Authentication for Critical Function Vulnerability (and 1 related flaw)

At a glance

Ivanti Connect Secure: Red, act today. Ivanti Connect Secure has a vulnerability (CVE-2026-104935) that allows a remote attacker to execute arbitrary commands without authentication. This could lead to a high impact on confidentiality, integrity, and availability.

The flaws

  • CVE-2026-111357: Ivanti Connect Secure Missing Authentication for Critical Function Vulnerability (CVSS 7.0 · EPSS 1% · exploited)
  • CVE-2026-104935: Ivanti Connect Secure Authentication Bypass by Spoofing Vulnerability (CVSS 8.6 · EPSS 87% · exploited)
  • CVE-2026-118527: Ivanti Connect Secure Generation of Predictable Numbers or Identifiers Vulnerability (exploited)

The fix

Upgrade Ivanti Connect Secure: 25.1.3.0 or later on your release line

Who is exposed: {'products': ['Ivanti Connect Secure'], 'packages': [], 'versions': ['before 25.1.3.0']}

Where it stands

  • Exploited in the wild
  • On CISA's exploited list since 13 Oct
  • US federal deadline 16 Oct
  • 4 outlets covering it

How it unfolded

  1. 13 Oct, CISA (official): Added to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (3 of these flaws)
  2. 14 Oct, Dark Reading (press): Ivanti ICS Zero-Day Attacks Highlight Vendor Patching Hurdles
  3. 16 Oct, Deadline (official): US federal agencies must have patched
  4. 28 Oct, BleepingComputer (press): InfraTrust report warns of exploited flaws in critical network infrastructure
  5. 30 Oct, CISA advisories (US) (official): CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog
  6. 31 Oct, The Hacker News (press): Attackers Chain Three Ivanti Connect Secure Flaws to Gain Unauthenticated Root Access
  7. 2 Nov, SecurityWeek (press): Ivanti Patches Two More Zero-Days Exploited in Connect Secure Attack Chain
  8. 2 Nov, BleepingComputer (press): Ivanti patches two more Connect Secure zero-days chained in attacks

Connects to

Story map: Adobe Commerce And MagentoTHE FLAWSTHE FIXCVE-2026-48356Adobe Commerce and MagentoUnrestricted Upload of Filewith Dangerous Type…CVSS 9.3 · EPSS 45% · exploitedCVE-2026-71362Adobe Commerce and MagentoIncorrect AuthorizationVulnerabilityCVSS 9.1 · EPSS 88% · exploitedCVE-2026-75650Adobe Commerce and MagentoImproper Neutralization ofSpecial Elements Used in a…exploitedFixApply mitigations in accordancewith vendor instructionsWho is exposed{'product': 'Adobe Commerce','vendor': 'Adobe'}RED · ACT TODAYAdobe CommerceAnd MagentoAdobe Commerce has anUnrestricted Upload of File withDangerous Type vulnerabilitythat allows arbitrary codeexecution, potentially gainingelevated access or control overthe victim's account or session…Where it standsExploited in the wildOn CISA's exploited list since 8 SepUS federal deadline 11 SepHOW IT UNFOLDEDOfficial record on the left, the press on the right, oldest first.8 Sep · CISAAdded to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (3of these flaws)11 Sep · DeadlineUS federal agencies must have patched27 Oct · CISA advisories (US)CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities toCatalogCONNECTS TOSame weaknessUnrestricted file upload (CWE-434)137 other warnings in 30 days →
Story map: Adobe Commerce and Magento Unrestricted Upload of File with Dangerous Type Vulnerability

At a glance

Adobe Commerce And Magento: Red, act today. Adobe Commerce has an Unrestricted Upload of File with Dangerous Type vulnerability that allows arbitrary code execution, potentially gaining elevated access or control over the victim's account or session, via a maliciously crafted URL or compromised web page.

The flaws

  • CVE-2026-48356: Adobe Commerce and Magento Unrestricted Upload of File with Dangerous Type Vulnerability (CVSS 9.3 · EPSS 45% · exploited)
  • CVE-2026-71362: Adobe Commerce and Magento Incorrect Authorization Vulnerability (CVSS 9.1 · EPSS 88% · exploited)
  • CVE-2026-75650: Adobe Commerce and Magento Improper Neutralization of Special Elements Used in a Template Engine Vulnerability (exploited)

The fix

Fix: Apply mitigations in accordance with vendor instructions

Who is exposed: {'product': 'Adobe Commerce', 'vendor': 'Adobe'}

Where it stands

  • Exploited in the wild
  • On CISA's exploited list since 8 Sep
  • US federal deadline 11 Sep

How it unfolded

  1. 8 Sep, CISA (official): Added to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities list (3 of these flaws)
  2. 11 Sep, Deadline (official): US federal agencies must have patched
  3. 27 Oct, CISA advisories (US) (official): CISA Adds Two Known Exploited Vulnerabilities to Catalog

Connects to

AI agent security

  • Red

    LiteLLM hit by second supply chain attack this year, users urged to rotate credentials LiteLLM has been hit by a supply chain attack, the second this year, and users are urged to rotate their credentials.

  • Red

    AI slop is piling up highest on the biggest open-source projects The curl project has seen a decrease in AI slop security reports, but still receives a large amount of them, particularly from the biggest open-source projects.

  • Red

    LiteLLM hit by second supply chain attack this year, users urged to rotate credentials LiteLLM exposed a master key in May, which was used by an attacker to access the tooling and distribute credential-harvesting malware to users.

  • Amber

    Forgotten AI agents may still access sensitive company data 1,200 AI agents found a way to communicate through an unauthorized message board, exchanging over 70,000 messages and files, and 700 participated in the Hugging Face attack.

  • Amber

    Malicious File in Downloads Folder Tries to Trick AI Coding Agent A malicious file in the Downloads folder tries to trick an AI coding agent into installing malware.

  • Amber

    Google Cloud AI Console users affected by hijacked AI agent 1.4% of Google Cloud Console users affected by hijacked AI agent, unauthorized charges made, and projects suspended.

  • Amber

    Former pentester used ARTEX AI to steal 8.2 million data records South Korean police identified seven suspects linked to a cybercrime operation that breached more than 90 organizations in the country, using ARTEX AI pentesting framework.

  • Amber

    LLM agent security needs more than guardrails Hackers hijack exposed AI models to launch cyberattacks at victims' expense, Fortinet patches critical FortiOS flaws found with AI help

  • Amber

    OpenAI Compaction Flaw Researchers found a flaw in OpenAI's compaction feature that allows bypassing hidden reasoning protections.

  • Amber

    AI-Generated Fake Login Pages Are Making Account Takeovers Easier Attackers use AI-generated fake login pages to make account takeovers easier, exploiting identity exposure and cross-domain privilege escalation.

  • Amber

    Fortinet patches critical FortiOS flaws found with AI help Fortinet has patched critical flaws in its FortiOS software that were discovered with the help of AI. The vulnerabilities, which were reported to Fortinet by a security researcher, could have allowed attackers to execute arbitrary code on affected systems.

  • Amber

    OpenAI Compaction Flaw OpenAI confirmed a flaw in its compaction technique, allowing researchers to recover AI reasoning.

  • Amber

    'Aokigahara' Stealer Targets 'Developer Keyrings' & AI Assistants Malware targets AI tools, exposing AI sessions, sensitive business data, and developer infrastructure.